Anyone figure out the wheels yet?
I've dump so much money trying to get that PI
I've resorted to spinning the wheel and letting random ppl push the stop button...so far no luck
it's decided the moment you press start, nothing to do with how or when you press stop.
It's just got 0.25% chance of winning P.I, no trick, just luck. :)
Correct.
so i should stop spinning and just save for a PI?
That's up to you, if you can afford the 1M a day and like to gamble then carry on :)
i own a sweet shop i can afford 1 mil a day but dang i just want a private island...ive been so close to getting it but most of the time i land on 5 point right in between the PI and the donator pack...one time i got a lose on all three wheels one right after the other....i think its kinda bull crap...
what do you mean it has to do when i push start...is it like a time of the day (ched just woke up spin the wheel)
0.25% crap how many times do i have to spin it
I don't know where the 0.25% chance came from, but if that was true then you'd be better off saving for it.
then do you know the real stats?
No idea.
My advice is click harder.
hahaha ok i'll give it a shot :)
I personally think even if u do not get the PI you still can get many other cool things. I got 100 points Wich was sick so I am happy.
There are 16 possibilities so 1/16*100=6,25% so 6,25% chance of winning plus there are six opportunities to lose more than you get so should beneficial to spin the wheel as often as you can afford.
Don't know much bout math ;) but this sounds good thank you :)
If you haven't understood the first reply to this thread, then I'll repeat it.
The outcome of spinning the wheel is already set/decided the moment you pay the $1M (start spinning).
The animation of the wheel spinning is just an extra aesthetic to the game and nothing more.
The chances of landing on the Private Island is not 6.25%, because the wheel is just aesthetic, not accurate. You can see this when the wheel has a sudden boost of speed, or doesn't slow down after pressing stop.
Moreover, you can test that the outcome has been determined already by spinning the wheel, then clicking on to another page. You will receive the reward, or take a journey to hospital. When you return to the Spin the Wheel area, you will see where the spinner landed on.
If you want an exact probability of landing on the Private Island you won't get it. No players I believe know it, and I guess staff might know.
the average bet-payout ratio in the other casino games is about 0.95, Assuming that the wheel has the same ratio like the rest of games, this means that the average PI to be paid out will cost about 526.3m. the total prizes on the wheel is approx 537m (excluding honor bar, mystery gift etc) Using probability, we can reverse engineer that value like this: 1/(537/0.95*526.3/537)*100=~0.18% as the win chance for the PI. Of course, that is assuming that the wheel have the same payout ratio like the rest of the games (which we may never know for certain), and the honor bar, mystery gift, lose, casino token, free spin and kick to throat are valueless.
If the chances of getting the PI are as Zarde said - 0.25%, that's 400m before you get your Private Island... also in between this you're winning some money as well, 100 points, 2m etc and other stuff along the way. So technically its more valuable to do this if you have good-average luck with it.. but you'll also have to wait 400 days for a PI so... depends how quick you want it, it might take you 400 days to save for a PI anyway. Thats how I see it.
ha, 0.25% would mean that the wheel will pay out at 1.25 (if only private islands are won at 0.25%). if you consider the much more likely probability scenario, that the entire wheel will pay out on average, that will set the payout to 1.3575 (35.75%); investment banking, (without merits or upgrades) will on average pay something like 1.24 APR (24%). for a casino game to have anything above 1.0 payout will mean that the casino will simply run at a loss. the 0.25% PI chance is most definitely a hoax, and logical estimations will point to the true chance for winning the PI is something between 0.11%-0.15% (the actual value can be calculated from the over all spinnings-to-winnings ratio, which we don't have)
the wheel is simply gambling, and the only secret to being successful at gambling is to take a chance if you are prepared to lose, and quit while you are ahead