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Is Press Pass worth it? Tried with 3500+ JPs.

Started by Stan [1514485] Wiki Contributor on in Tutorials & Guides.

35 replies · 2.48k views · thread synced · 6 days ago · View on torn.com

Posts archived: 36 / 36 posts (100%) · the total is Torn's reply count + the opening post at the last fetch

stax [1132977]
Each coin flip is a 50% chance of heads. However, if you flip two times, the chance that at least one is heads is 75% (50% of the time the first flip is heads and, even in the remaining 50% of cases, 50% of those end up heads on #2). I'm too tired to remember the formula on how to run the stats, but multiple chances at hitting X, each at Y%, add up to a greater than Y% chance overall of hitting X at least once.
stax [1132977]
I believe it is 1 - [ProbabilityNotJackpot]^[n], where n is the number of spins.

So, assuming (1) that you're correct that it's a 0.0002% chance of winning (so a 0.9998% chance of not-winning) and (2) you spin 100 times (100 tokens) it's 1-[.9998^100], aka 1-.9801967126, yielding 0.0198032874 or a little under a 2% chance of winning. That still seems high, I'm guessing that 0.0002% is off for the chance of winning per spin (probably by an order of magnitude), unless you're doing the absolutely most expensive spin (my understanding is the chance-per-spin scales with the $$$$ spent per spin.
Stan [1514485] Wiki Contributor
Some good math
yeah the amount on the roll has a slight different probability for winning
Iwasme89 [1693153]
Nice data thanks!
You also have to consider that your stats are not in the SE range yet. For balanced 12b stat players the calculation would be different.
Plus: It's the best way to get racing skill ;)

One more important point: The Energy gain is not restricted to a certain value per day like a farm etc. It's a lot rng of course but that's also a factor if you want a lot (>700) E at one particular day.
Stan [1514485] Wiki Contributor

Good idea, i got 300x8=2400e from my 3500 jp 

If he has 10k and has the same rng (should be), he should be able to do 3x that which is like 7300e

 

This is better than a farm (700x8=5600e) and better than a candle shop (500x8= 4000)

 

This way he will have access to more than the max normal e generated and will have a higher chance to get a top spot in hw (if he follows maol and minions and gets good drops)

 

 

He can get more e if he has points in a candle/farm and has access to them in the middle of hw, 

he uses all his e from the TV (in the first 3 days max, first day is preferred) then leaves and joins a farm or candle and gets the extra e from there, but thats minmaxing and a bit tricky but doable