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Huston always buys impractical tools

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Looking for a 10* pub/ amusement park

Long term if possible

Can join any time 

 

10/10 EE 
10/10 Addiction Mitigation 
Rehab regularly

Active daily

 

Manual labor 6,798
Intelligence 35,825
Endurance 52,156
Total 94,779

 

Thx! 

Marvelous, Elegant, Delicate, And Luxurious Lockets Inspire Ornamentists Naturally.
Source Word: CHOREOGRAPHY

Hello everyone,

 

I searched Q&A and found a similar question back on 17/03/24. There is only one answer, which  suggests a mechanic similar to crime 1.0.

 

It's mentioned in the wiki page of crime 1.0. Yet in crime 2.0 only OC is explicitly included. 

 

I was just wondering if it's a de facto norm or something.  

 

Thx! 

 

Looking for a 10* pub/ amusement park

Long term if possible

Can join any time 

 

10/10 EE 
10/10 Addiction Mitigation 
Rehab regularly

Active daily

 

Manual labor 6,798
Intelligence 35,825
Endurance 52,156
Total 94,779

 

Thx! 

Looking for 7* + music store

 

• Manual labor 809
• Intelligence 16,336
• Endurance 37,513
• Total 54,658

 

10/10 EE

Active daily

 

Thanks :)

Hi there

Looking for a 7*+ candle shop

Active daily and rehab frequently

I can join as early as this Saturday

 

Current working stats:

• Manual labor 559
• Intelligence 12,688
• Endurance 30,086
• Total 43,333

 

Thanks :)

b1: Number of tickets you have purchased
b2: Number of tickets from lucky vouchers
s: Total number of tickets sold overall
p: Price of a single ticket
d:discounted rate

EV: (b1+b2) / s * p( s -(b1+b2*d)) -p(b1+b2*d) (1 - (b1+b2) / s)
= (b1+b2)*p - (b1+b2)*p*(b1+b2*d)/s -p(b1+b2*d) + p(b1+b2*d)(b1+b2)/s
=(b1+b2)*p -p(b1+b2*d)
=p(b1+b2-b1-b2*d)
=p*(b2-b2*d)
=b2*p*(1-d)


I double checked this using python and got the same result.

[image: i.postimg.cc]

So back to your equation. I think it's correct but only when all of the tickets are from the lucky vouchers. If using both tokens and vouchers, then "amount bought" mentioned above is incorrect, as that would means number of tickets you have purchased with tokens and number of tickets from the lucky vouchers.

Using both tokens and vouchers or either one, the simplified EV is b2 * p * (1-d) ,aka

Number of tickets from the lucky vouchers * Price of a single ticket * the discounted value.

It's funny that it's has nothing to do with the tokens though. For examples, the EV of Lucky Shot Lotto would be the same between using 1000 tokens + 2 vouchers and 10 tokens + 2 vouchers. If you get 15% off from both vouchers compared to the standard 1 million(100 tickets that cost 10k each), then no matter how many tokens you use for tickets, the EV is still 15%*1millon*2, which is 300k.

If you get them from different prices, then it looks like this:
[image: i.postimg.cc]

If the assumptions and calculation above are correct though. Anyway, thanks for bringing it up. And I think It could be even more interesting once you know there has an positive EV and you can apply the Kelly Criterion. But that's off-topic for now.

Greeting, Torn Citizens:

Once again, I couldn't find this specific topic while searching, so please bear with me if you've come across these questions repeatedly. Thank you in advance for any thoughts on this topic.

My question is this: Does the lottery have an expected value of zero?

If so, then buying lottery tickets is the same as playing RR, but with much higher volatility, and daily limit on tokens for sure. That being said, getting in a cruise line company for extra casino tokens seems good in this way, as in a long run, you don't lose anything regarding the 0 EV but have a higher chance of winning than others.

For the calculation part, the result seems intuitive, but just in case someone needs it or if I made any mistakes or redundancies...

b :Number of tickets you bought
s :Total number of tickets sold overall
p:Price of a ticket

chance of winning = b / s
chance of losing = 1 -b / s

value of winning = p * s -b * p
value of losing = -b * p

EV: b / s * (p * s - b * p) -b * p * (1-b / s )
= b * p - b * p + b ^ 2 * p / s - b ^ 2 * p / s
= 0

Samoyeds Nosed Intoxicants From Furnishings, Examining Relentlessly.

Source Word: FETCH

Congrats! That's surely something I won't be able to achieve in years to come!
Speaking of speed broadly, it actually reminds me of some memes . I wonder how many things have been become billions of times faster than they used to be xD.


[image: www.physicsforums.com]

[image: www.physicsforums.com]

Marvelous, Elegant, Delicate, And Luxurious Lockets Inspire Ornamentists Naturally.
Source Word: CHOREOGRAPHY

Rebuilding

Better late than never! :D Torn Advertisement Contest Entry


Disclaimer:
Background music, sound effects, and stock footage used in this video were obtained from royalty-free sources. A complete list of the links is available upon OP's request.

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Tax Returns Include Gross Gains Except Reimbursement.
Source Word: CONSPICUOUS

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[image: i.postimg.cc]

Property Expenses Raise Mysteriously, Albeit Niche Entrepreneurs Neglect Them.
Source word: SERENDIPITY

sounds like empirical probability or gambler's fallacy .It could be true if you have a large sample size and test it with some stats tests, chi-square, for example :)

Cathy Often Nags Until Nightfall , Driving Rachel Unsurprisingly Mad.

Source Word: CANDLESTICK

Congrats!
I think I also got a royal flush when I was still in the newbie room :D

• Best hand:10♥ J♥ Q♥ K♥ A♥

Back then the best strategy to win there was to bet $10 every time for nothing but just to make others impatient so that they would all in with their worse hands. It's so much fun and completely chaotic. And there was a time when a random guy went all in 14 times and lost every single hand to me. Good old days indeed! :)